After mud settles, son of late Philippine dictator emerges as presidential frontrunner


MANILA (Reuters) – The son of late Philippines strongman Ferdinand Marcos has emerged because the individual to beat within the 2022 presidential race, after President Rodrigo Duterte’s in style daughter determined to not contest the nation’s prime job.

Ferdinand Marcos Jr. seemingly benefited probably the most from Davao metropolis mayor Sara Duterte-Carpio’s transfer to run for vice chairman, in opposition to the desires of her supporters, regardless of main polls for most well-liked presidential contenders all all year long.

“With out the favored Duterte-Carpio within the presidential race, Marcos is frontrunner, with 60% odds of victory, although there’s a lengthy highway forward,” the Eurasia Group consultancy stated in a word to shoppers late on Monday, after nominations closed.

Whereas Marcos’s candidacy has angered victims of his father’s brutal period of martial legislation, a survey by the Social Climate Station (SWS) in October confirmed he might simply beat his rivals, together with boxing hero Manny Pacquiao.

Of the six key candidates confirmed to run for president on the time the ballot was carried out, 47% of the 1,200 surveyed by SWS stated they might vote for the 64-year outdated Marcos, popularly generally known as “Bongbong” or “BBM”.

“The one rationalization there’s he acquired the pro-Sara voters. There’s very shut affinity between BBM voters and Sara’s voters,” stated political analyst Temario Rivera.

The election to decide on a successor to Duterte can be held in Might subsequent 12 months. He himself will not be eligible to contest for the presidency once more after his single six-year time period however can be standing within the election for a senator’s seat.

Marcos is the one son of the late dictator who dominated the Philippines for nearly twenty years till his 1986 overthrow. He stated he desires Duterte-Carpio to be his working mate, however she has but to simply accept.

Marcos’s household is among the many nation’s most well-known dynasties and regardless of its fall from grace, has retained far-reaching and highly effective connections.


Marcos, the dictator, died in exile in 1989 after fleeing the nation following the “individuals energy” revolution. Because the household’s return, Marcos junior has been elected governor, congressman, and in 2010, as a senator. His sister is a senator and a former governor, and his mom, Imelda Marcos, was elected to Congress for 4 phrases.

“In a rustic whereby political recollections are fairly quick and forgiveness will not be in brief provide, that is undoubtedly working in favour of the Marcoses,” stated Richard Heydarian, an creator, columnist and educational who specialises in politics.

Working to his benefit, political analysts additionally say, is Marcos’s sturdy social media presence geared toward focusing on the youth, who make up a 3rd of eligible voters. A lot of them weren’t born when Marcos senior was in energy.

The ballot outcomes confirmed the opposite presidential candidates far adrift, with incumbent Vice President Leni Robredo with 18%, and Manila mayor Francisco Domagoso on 13%, adopted by Pacquiao with 9%.

The ballot didn’t embrace Christopher “Bong” Go, Duterte’s closest aide, who solely joined the presidential race on Saturday, and analysts say his entry, which is backed by the favored firebrand chief, might dilute a few of Marcos’s help.

Marcos can be going through a disqualification case grounded on a two-decade outdated tax evasion conviction, which Eurasia stated Duterte might “weaponise if he turns in opposition to his ally.”

The race might slender too, if Marcos’s rivals unite behind a single “stop-Marcos” candidate within the race, Eurasia stated.

(Reporting by Karen Lema; Modifying by Raju Gopalakrishnan)

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