MELAKA: With polling day for the state election right here lower than a day away, political analysis agency Ilham Centre has predicted that Barisan Nasional will comfortably win 11 seats, with Pakatan Harapan taking seven.
The 11 seats it predicted Barisan would win had been Ayer Limau, Serkam, Taboh Naning, Ayer Molek, Sungai Rambai, Sungai Udang, Lendu, Kuala Linggi, Telok Mas, Merlimau and Rim.
For Pakatan, the seven seats had been Bukit Katil, Paya Rumput, Duyong, Ayer Keroh, Kesidang, Kota Laksamana and Bandar Hilir.
In line with Ilham Centre, Barisan might kind the subsequent state authorities if it might safe 4 different seats, including it had recognized ten seats which might see surprises.
The ten are Asahan, Kelebang, Tanjong Bidara, Pantai Kundor, Durian Tunggal, Machap Jaya, Rembia, Pengkalan Batu, Bemban dan Gadek.
“It’s onerous to get an correct studying from these ten seats as a result of shut fights between candidates,” it mentioned.
Ilham Centre added Perikatan Nasional might spring surprises in Tanjung Bidara, Rembia and Bemban as a result of power of their candidates.
“We’re seeing Perikatan more and more stealing votes in these areas,” it mentioned.
Tanjung Bidara, a long-time Umno stronghold, will see Melaka Umno chief Datuk Seri Ab Rauf Yusoh locked in a three-cornered combat in opposition to Perikatan’s selection for chief minister, Datuk Mas Ermieyati Samsudin and Pakatan’s Zainal Hassan.
Because the 12-day marketing campaign interval involves an in depth, Ilham Centre mentioned Barisan appeared to have an edge over Perikatan and Pakatan.
“Pakatan might win if voter turnout is greater than 80%, and Perikatan if they can break the dominance of Barisan’s Malay votes.
“If these two conditions did not occur, then Barisan will prevail.”
Ilham centre additionally mentioned that Pakatan might win three-cornered fights.
The survey by Ilham Centre, involving 1,051 registered voters in Melaka, was performed from Oct 23 to Nov 15.
There could be five-cornered fights in 5 seats, particularly in Rembia, Machap Jaya, Paya Rumput, Pengkalan Batu and Bemban. 9 seats would witness four-cornered fights, whereas 11 different seats would have three-cornered fights.
A complete of 112 candidates, comprising 28 every from Barisan, Perikatan and Pakatan in addition to 5 from Parti Bumiputera Perkasa Malaysia and one from Parti Perikatan India Muslim Nasional whereas there could be 22 impartial candidates would contest the Melaka state election.
